Saturday, July 18, 2009

Dynamicrating for Sunday 19/7/09

please find the Top four in a race.Hope with the help of notes based on my observation it will help to narrow down the choice.
1=Fleet indian(566)-Sherman(558)-Red Stone(552)-Shades of white(540)
Notes=The race is strictly between the first two.In all probabilities Fleet Indian will not lose.But watch out for Sherman.last outing dropped the rider and ran the course.Yet it was up with the field.Today it has good rating also and definetly will give anxious moments at long odds.It will definetly try start to finish and Place is certanity.
2=Calypso Star(602)-Gold crown(592)-Russian dancer(591)-Classic concept(578)
Notes=On rating they are in above order and likely to finish so.
3=Portabello(571)-frozen Fire(564)-Social climber(545)-Star assembly(542)
Notes=Stictly between the first two.They will finish one-two either way.Portabello needs a strong rider to control with a little bit of luck can upset again.
4=Ice Breaker(648)-Star of gold(620)
Notes=The ratings says it all.Spark of gold for a easy place bet.
5=Mighty heart(618)-Own Voice(600)-Bee quick(595)-River Island(590)
Notes=true Mighty heart is first in rating,but two factors against it.a)The blinding speed of bee Quick.b)Top weight.In my opininon since Own voice has improved its rating it will be tough to beat.
6=Media man(575)-Sudden Thunder(570)-Seven star(560)-Spark of adventure(545)
Notes=The first three arethere.But like i commented last week,the day Sudden Thunder breaks level it will be tough to beat.May be tommorrow is the day.
7=Attaturk(546)-Commanche War paint(542)-Draupadi(538)-Meican wave(535)
Notes=Attaturk and Mexican wave,1200mts is not suitable.If Commancehe war paint is "on",well thats it.
all the best
Do keep posting comments on any improvement,fedback .

7 comments:

ananddhariwal said...

ice breaker can lose 2day

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear mr anand,
definetly some basis based on which you have posted.So if we just get into details.yes it is a school for thought.
a.Spark of gold has been winning very well when exploited over distance races.One point which i could share about Icebreaker is in the bangalore derby when it beat ABS FABS after takeing over from the Start to Finish attempt of AF,ice was coming back to the field over 2400mts.So that gives a thought that it may lack the stamina over 2800mts.
But see the indian derby.It came way off the pace to finish third indicating that 2800mts will not be a problem..Forget Indian oaks as it was a one off race.
Lastly the Quality of field here is i feel tackable by ICE.So it still runs with the best chance,but racing is full of uncertanties.

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear mr anand,
definetly some basis based on which you have posted.So if we just get into details.yes it is a school for thought.
a.Spark of gold has been winning very well when exploited over distance races.One point which i could share about Icebreaker is in the bangalore derby when it beat ABS FABS after takeing over from the Start to Finish attempt of AF,ice was coming back to the field over 2400mts.So that gives a thought that it may lack the stamina over 2800mts.
But see the indian derby.It came way off the pace to finish third indicating that 2800mts will not be a problem..Forget Indian oaks as it was a one off race.
Lastly the Quality of field here is i feel tackable by ICE.So it still runs with the best chance,but racing is full of uncertanties.

Anonymous said...

Ruchi,
Stop this fuss.This game is not for you.
Do your job carefully.

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear Mr Anonymous,
i am definetly doing my job carefully that is for sure.
In spite of an hectic 8 to 8 job i still work out the ratings as i like racing and its my passion.
I dont think i can consider your summon to STOP.
So best dont waste your time and internet hours by opening this blog.
Wonder why you dont give any feedback last three days(THUR,FRI and sat)when the results were extremly good.

John (HYD) said...

Well said Mr Jetendra,

Dont worie about the Mr ANONYMOUS he and anyone who does not like your DR rating should not wast time and open this blog, we dont need any of this stupit comments from Mr ANONYMOUS. you are doing a grate job please carry on.

PS; it only proves they(Mr Anonymous) cant read between the lines.
John

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear Mr john,
Thanks once again.i amd extremly lucky to have followers of my postings like you and others who encouraged me.
Unfortunately the "ANONYMOUS" ones who give negative feedback as Mr Easwaran rightly put it ,think i am haveing and ALLADINs lamp where at my behest the Genie will go and push the first horse on rating past the post and these people cash on it.
Thanks once again mr john and i will try my best not to get distracted by these few"ANONYMOUS" ones.