Thursday, September 18, 2014

DR for Mysore 18.9and my views

As usual as is with Mysore a Tough and Circus type of card on hand. Caution and restraint is the key. A winner at any odds is good and with that in view one should treed the Mysore circuit.
Here are the top four with potential to perform and my views. Selective view as I have calculated only a few races.
1=Skip
2=skip
3=Skip
4=SIMPLETON(568)-ALABAMA(568)-WHISTLE JACKET(563)
Analysis= Just five points separate the top three.One point of note is SIMPLETON is a decent horse. Well placed in handicap vis a vis the other two ridden by goodriders that is LL and BESSIE.
Also This owners horses when they are fancied in Mysore, seldom they lose. So my view is SIMPLETON if a positive intent from Betting angle is there then it will romp home. One point of note is whlst BESSIE is a good horse but today its DR is low, LL is a dud. Pl don't get carried away with this rider. Today bookies will make it fav and it will not even place.
Both ALABAMA and WHISTLE JACKET are capable of placing so keep a eye.

5=BEYOND EFFECT(570)-SON OF STARS(570)-C. NOBILITY(563)
Analysis= BE may place being from Mysore circuit. On current form of both horse and stable I feel it will be tough to beat SON OF STARS.

6=VISIONIST(602)-WINSTON(589)-INQUISITION(580)
Analysis= Don't look beyond WINSTON. In this set and by giving just 4.5 kgs to the bottom horse, WINSTON just just CANNOT LOSE.
VISIONIST willsurely be in the fight for minor place as also INQUISITION. 7F is INQUISITION pet distance. Even the other day in testing conditions it was fighting and finished third. Both should place.

7=Ganpathy upto his old tricks with reverse shoes and confusing the masses. better to skip this one
.
8=HATCHET HARRY(565)-TRUST ME BOY(564)-STAR STRUCK(561)-BALLANTOY(561)
Analysis= Just 4 pts separating the top four.A interesting race with all Shady guys in top three. To confuse further both HH and TMB have put in "Reverse shoes".Whilst Caddy as per past record with "S" rarely goes, Samar sing tries place gambles with "S".
Plus there is the King of Shady trainers.remember how the first race on ENCORAGER was fixed. Horse went back but the second placed horse helped it to win.The only connection who is not on this Trio is the BALLANTOY gang.
Best is to leave all shady guys and go NAP on BALLANTOY for EACH WAY, More in PLACE. will be 1.5 or evens but is a pick up money bet.
A winning bet be it WIN/PLACE at any odds is good provided we return home with +.For that today.BACK WINSTON WIN.WILL NOT LOSE and BALLANTOY PLACE .
Small bets on other horses for place as indicated above advised.  

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