The first few days racing at any center have to be treaded with caution .The new season Dynamic ratings would yet have to be established and intentions of connections also become clear. So please be cautious over the first few meets.
With that little bit of caution please find the top four Dynamic ratings along with my views.
1= Skip
2=BEAUTIFUL EFFECT(564)-KIR ROYLE(563)-DOMNICA(561)-GO MAN GO(547)
Analysis= The first three are very closely rated. I would first eliminate GO MAN because there is a enquiry against this horse and such horses I find don't perform. BE is ridden by a very very poor rider, though horse has merit. KIR ROYALE and DOMNICA seem to have the best chance.
Darashah has a allergy for favourites so that much of confidence on KIR is not there. If there s any positive trend on DOMNICA then I feel it should be a safe each way bet.
3=HARD TO PIN(565)-ALBATROSS(555)-ICE SPLENDOUR(548)
Analysis= While HARD TO PIN and ICE are old in the tooth, the young ALBATROSS has performed decently has age and handicap in its favor. Also SATURN(8) is strong at that time so I feel ALBATROSS should do it today.
4=QUEEN COLOUR(581)-TULIP(570)-RISING SUN(568)-COUNTRYS NOBILITY(568)
Analysis= QC may not be on against these youngsters. COUNTRY NOBLITY has negative shoes and a dud rider. My view is race should be between the other two.
5=YAKEEN(600)-SUPREME(593)-COMMANDING HEIGHTS(589)-CAPRI(573)
Analysis= YAKEEN has been systematically bought back to 6F after two runs over 7F.Weight may prove a stopper. CAPRI in my view is a pure III class and cant beat this set. Race should be between the vastly improved SUPREME who seems to relish shorter trips unlike longer trips which it was earlier subjected to. However the one to beat is COMMANDING HEIGHTS. Has a positive shoe change also which shows the intention. I am sure its is a good Each way bet. will be even 1.5/1 for place. PLACE IS CERTAIN>
6=PEPPER KING(563)-LAD LADY(563)-MOTHER EWA(563)-CARISA(554)
Analysis= CARISA is enquiry case. MOTHER EWA negative shoe and dud rider. Race should be between the other two. Please note PEPPER KING is running over its pet distance. Due to revised rating in view of new season it has dropped in scale and moreover a very positive apprentice is riding it and further two kgs off. I feel PEPPER KING is the best bet of the day. Again PLACE is moral.
LAD LADY will also run on for place mind it.
7=TIME TO TIME(554)-PAMUSHANA(550)-SMOKE HEAD(548)-CHANDANI(542)
Analysis= TOT ran a good race last run but trainer has opted for "S" shoes. Intention don't seem right today. SMOKE HEAD although one among the top four has lost form and we should consider it only after it shows some for, My view race is a straight fight between the other two. Both are very good horses ,in fact CHANDANI is a better horse ,but why DHARMENDRA.No Doubt Dharmendra was agood rider once upon a time and connections would have put him for odds factor. This is avery poor set for CHANDNI to tackle.However it wont be easy as I feel even with this dud rider PAMUSHANA is going to run a great race today.
Both these two should finish ONE-TWO with PAMUSHANA having the edge today.
That's it. Play safe, do interact it helps.
With that little bit of caution please find the top four Dynamic ratings along with my views.
1= Skip
2=BEAUTIFUL EFFECT(564)-KIR ROYLE(563)-DOMNICA(561)-GO MAN GO(547)
Analysis= The first three are very closely rated. I would first eliminate GO MAN because there is a enquiry against this horse and such horses I find don't perform. BE is ridden by a very very poor rider, though horse has merit. KIR ROYALE and DOMNICA seem to have the best chance.
Darashah has a allergy for favourites so that much of confidence on KIR is not there. If there s any positive trend on DOMNICA then I feel it should be a safe each way bet.
3=HARD TO PIN(565)-ALBATROSS(555)-ICE SPLENDOUR(548)
Analysis= While HARD TO PIN and ICE are old in the tooth, the young ALBATROSS has performed decently has age and handicap in its favor. Also SATURN(8) is strong at that time so I feel ALBATROSS should do it today.
4=QUEEN COLOUR(581)-TULIP(570)-RISING SUN(568)-COUNTRYS NOBILITY(568)
Analysis= QC may not be on against these youngsters. COUNTRY NOBLITY has negative shoes and a dud rider. My view is race should be between the other two.
5=YAKEEN(600)-SUPREME(593)-COMMANDING HEIGHTS(589)-CAPRI(573)
Analysis= YAKEEN has been systematically bought back to 6F after two runs over 7F.Weight may prove a stopper. CAPRI in my view is a pure III class and cant beat this set. Race should be between the vastly improved SUPREME who seems to relish shorter trips unlike longer trips which it was earlier subjected to. However the one to beat is COMMANDING HEIGHTS. Has a positive shoe change also which shows the intention. I am sure its is a good Each way bet. will be even 1.5/1 for place. PLACE IS CERTAIN>
6=PEPPER KING(563)-LAD LADY(563)-MOTHER EWA(563)-CARISA(554)
Analysis= CARISA is enquiry case. MOTHER EWA negative shoe and dud rider. Race should be between the other two. Please note PEPPER KING is running over its pet distance. Due to revised rating in view of new season it has dropped in scale and moreover a very positive apprentice is riding it and further two kgs off. I feel PEPPER KING is the best bet of the day. Again PLACE is moral.
LAD LADY will also run on for place mind it.
7=TIME TO TIME(554)-PAMUSHANA(550)-SMOKE HEAD(548)-CHANDANI(542)
Analysis= TOT ran a good race last run but trainer has opted for "S" shoes. Intention don't seem right today. SMOKE HEAD although one among the top four has lost form and we should consider it only after it shows some for, My view race is a straight fight between the other two. Both are very good horses ,in fact CHANDANI is a better horse ,but why DHARMENDRA.No Doubt Dharmendra was agood rider once upon a time and connections would have put him for odds factor. This is avery poor set for CHANDNI to tackle.However it wont be easy as I feel even with this dud rider PAMUSHANA is going to run a great race today.
Both these two should finish ONE-TWO with PAMUSHANA having the edge today.
That's it. Play safe, do interact it helps.