Saturday, December 27, 2014

Dynamic rating for Bangalore 27.12

Please find the top four with potential and my views. please add your thoughts too.
1=LITTLE BROWN JUG(562)-NOBLE PRINCESS(549)-SUMMER SENSATION(534)-SIMPLY CLEVER(512)
Analysis= Just see how trainers try to mislead the masses. LBJ is a well performed horse ,but the Chor trainer has opted for "S" with the sole intention of hoodwinking the masses.Any way this father/son duo are well known for doing tricks when their wards are the favourite.Best is to leave the event or a token chance for place on NOBLE PRINCESS.

2=TANGANYIKA(558)-CONJURER(505)-ZULU FANTASY(504)-TUSCANO(504)
Analysis= TANGANYIKA is one horse race. cannot envisage it getting beat in this mediocre bunch.

3=STAR OF DESTINY(592)-SECRET DIMENSION(573)-FOURTH DIMENSION(551)
Analysis= The inform STAR is set for a encore.

4= First timers

5=LIEGE LORD(562)-ACE MESMERISE(554)-I SMILE(543)
Analysis= LL is a good horse but intentions??. I feel race will be between the other two. A three way chance suggested.

6=RAKSHITA(581)-AERO STAR(569)-DELILAH(563)-SPANISH MOON(562)
Analysis= last run RAKSHITA was slow off and lost all chances at the gates itself. With a level break can be in the fight.Both DELILAH and AERO STAR also cannot be underestimated. both have merit. may be race time odds will give a clue as all are shady connections.

7= MICKEY MOUSE(590)-AASHIKARA(589)-EVRAZ(577)
Analysis= MICKEY MOUSE, the trainer has been playing tricks as usual. Race no 37 ,the horse jumps off well and was thru out racing 4 wide and petered out. in race no 87, the horse after a run, obviously stripped fitter, trainer opted for "S" shoes and instructed the rider to hit the front and blow of the animal. In spite of forward running style the rider could not keep it off frame and it came fourth. TODAY back to its pet distance over a mile, make a note the horse is fighting fit. With this connection race time clue to be watched for. if there is even the slightest positive clue, I am sure it will win. Else AASHIKARA.

8=UNGOOGELABLE(599)-ARCH DUCHESS(592)-DIAMOND QUEST(578)-LADS GLADIATOR(573)
Analysis= UNGOOGELABLE even last time was top rated. rider was sitting pretty thru out as the race was made up for the cine star owners wife (GAME DANCER). Everybody was sitting pretty and GD was allowed to win PIllar to post.Today UNGOG has a excellent chance, will be tried.( I hope today LADS GLADIATOR ,same connection of GAME DANCER is not the beneficiary)

9=HIDDEN SOLDIER(584)-RUSTIC SUNRISE(584)-BARRACHUS(581)-MILLROSE(570)
Analysis= HENDRIX is a good horse, but since its had only one run its DR is not established. In my view it may fail to give weight   to other youngsters. We will know today.
But after a lot of analysis I have zeroed down on HIDDEN SOLDIER and MILL ROSE. HS last run was slow off but covered tremendous ground and finished a flying 4th. but for that effort he has been put up 5kgs which is a winners penalty.
Come to MILROSE. Race 130 won under very very testing conditions (Heavy rains).again in race no 190 it ran a good third with welter weight also under testing conditions and just 2 lengths behind BROKER JONES. It had a easy run in race no 38. Apart from this,  point to note is in two spurts it had, once it was with RYAN and second time with JOHN. Both have a body weight of 57kgs.That means MILROSE did the spurt by carrying 57kgs and clocked a far better time vis a vis others with light weight riders.(600 in 43s)
Now today MR is carrying 54 kgs. MILROSE IN MY VIEW WILL SURELY RUN A FANTASTIC RACE ,PLACE IS MORAL.WORTH A GOOD SOLID THREE WAY BET.

All the best
 s

1 comment:

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Ruchi,

On a lighter side if you did a DR on luck you would have failed.

Excellent mate!! What I meant was Lord Leige. You almost had it. A whopping 719 bucks for a tenner and place was 519.

I wonder if any of the reader had taken a chance.

Good luck for today.