dear All,who follow this newly incepted BLOG.racing as we all know is a very tricky game.lot of theories are practiced to narrow down on the choices.
an effort in that direction can only narrow down the choices as racing has got lot factors.to expect that the highest rated horse as per my calculation should always win ,its not possible ,hope we all agree.Somedays although rare in my experience the system may not work as satisfactorily.
In racing there are lot of factors like,Fitness of the animal,Intention of the stable,luck of the race and so on and so forth.
So any logical system will help to narrow down the selection .I can lets say the Dynamic handicapping for ex helps to narrow down to say 80% but the balance 20% depends on other factors and that is why the first on rating always does not win.
Some of the comments on the Blog are very disturbing and discouraging and hence a time for resproctive has come.
Its a request to all who follow this blog to please post your honest opinion whether my ratings are of support in some way or other and worthwhile continuing.
15 comments:
Hi
Honestly to say it is most uncertain game. As u said top rated animals which are supposed to win, some times fail to oblige due to so many reasons. Even then rating should always be given top priority and later the following factors have got to be considered.
A) Blood lines, Current fitness
B) Last run timing
C) Latest track/swimming work
D) Change of equipment if any
and lastly E)The interest of owner etc.
Finally the luck factor. A punter should always have luck into his/her favour.
Hope my points of opinion supports you to continue with your postings, which definitely helps your blog followers.
Rao
Dear sir, your observations are very correct and practical . Pl, keep it up . Pl don"t worry about undue comments . All the comments are just like tonic. No one including the the hi-fi trainers, owners&jockeys can assure the success of their wards.
Dear sirs,rao and Kumar who have left encouraging words.First of all thanks.
It has given me tremendous boost and encouragement to continue with my postings.
I am indeed fortunate to have such positive and open minded persons following my guidelines.
Thank you once again and watch out for the pune ratings.
Very best regards
Hi,
U must have heard this "One stroke of small sparkle can defeat 1000years of darkness".
I hope u got the point.Stick to ur system and evaluate its worthiness after one entire season.
Respected Jitendra Rawell!
you have well said the Dynamic ratings could narrow down the field to few, it is here the other factors comes, like handicap, jockey caliber, draw, and of course stable intention,
you are doing fine service do not bother for the Opinion of fellow horse racing players. to be honest no one can certainly pin point to the winner not more than 30 to 35 %, since most races are not playable
if one can choose to play with patience i am sure you patience will be rewarded provided you wait for the plum and play it with meaningful stakes
Jitenderji, our fellow horse players want "Allavuddin magic lamp to bring out the winners in all the races and that too with good odds.
alas it is not possible
if one can get a decent % winners or shp with odds above 4 to 1 i am sure this game can be made to pay for ones work .
you are burning your midnight candle to help the fellow horse players.
remember this friend
people will pour the compliments when you pin point the winner and the same people will pour poison if you fail to point the winner.
this is the truth
do not bother for any one comment
all that matters is you are doing it for the sake of yourself
in the process you are sharing to care.
it is up to the people to choose and use this smart work which consumes the precious time
which could have been used for some otheu purpose.
but you" CHOOSE with COURAGE TO SHARE IT
KEEP going sir
let not some one take advantage of you
let the critics pay what they want
you know where you stand
that is it
enjoy
every moment of the game
with dynamic ratings
i wish you abundant wellness
may your ratings bring long priced winners often
love
easwaran
bangalroe
Hi sir how r u?
I m syourprised why u r writhing this post? Your selections r superb who is saying they r not on target lets take the example of mysore 13 july09 races except race no.2 all are from your selections:-
Race-1 ==balbusar second from your selection
Race –2==race was upset as winner RS 578 one cannot predict
Race –3==Gershwin & Cruise contro from your selections
Race-4==Ciampino and Hochimimh from your selection
Race-5==Arabian speed and raiders sun from your selections
Race-6==master prospect from your selections
Race=7==Royal hawk and Ohiyesa from your selections
Race-8==Suave and Forever Grande
It is a wonderful job sir congratulation! sir
Thanks & regards
you are doing well and the work is definitely appreciated.You have told the facts vert aptly and my request would be that you continue doing the good job.
If the ratings work well, you will be doubly rewarded and i hope that it is the case.
Please do not be put off by many comments which at times does pull you down
Swamy
hi Jitendra,
ur ratings are very helpful in coordinating other factors. on other day Portabella, ur first choice, admirably went clear. one must be very cautions when investing their hard earned fortuens in a game of uncerternty and restrict to few races only.
keep going
best wishes
jai
Dear sir, first of all it is too easy make a comment. But in reality those makes that comment will be vanished away. Pl continue yr good job . Don"t get or divert from your originality, pl continue. In a open world, such distractors are common.
My and the only and firm feelings for those postings as (Anonymous) are unfit & useless to be explained.
hi jitendra
keep going. do not worry about detractors.you are good and i hope you know it.
warm regards/anil
Dear all,
all i can say is i am overwhelmed .I thank you all kind and positive genteman who have given their encouraging thoughts.
i from my side will ensure that i continue with my efforts and hope it will help one and all.
Thanks again to one and all.
Sir,
First of all let me take this space to THANK YOU. for the hard wok you are doing by giveing your rating on each race.
Let me tell all followers of racing by Mr J.Rawell placeing the rating he is helping us relax and ONLY work on 4 horses instead of the FULL field.
Now when we have 4 horses from this rating, we now need to see the other factors which some of the other experts have said things like FITNESS/JOCKEY'S ABILIY/and most importain STABLE INTENSIONS.
Mr J Rawell please carry on the good work.
P.S infact i would like to learn from you the methord you are useing. mail id is johnwithyou@yahoo.co.in
Hi Jitendra,
For someone like you who is trained to work out Dynamic Ratings and has developed his own unique insight about them through continued use, good days will always outnumber the bad ones.
As regards public comments, the very definition of this game is a premise "I know better than you", because after all, each punter is playing against every other punter. So those who cannot look at this pursuit philosophically will always need to boost their ego, and some of them may choose to do it by running down others.
But at least my experience is there are always more grateful souls than the cribbing ones, because every cribber will post a blasting comment, but only 5% of your supporters will take the trouble of letting you know. They are the type who appreciate your effort in a quiet way and don't want to take sides publicly. I think you should always have them in mind when you post your advice.
Best always,
Prakash
Hi,
I have seen your postings from the day one.Like many other good handicappers/rating masters,you too are very sincere about your pre- race calculations and expect certain horses to perform better than the rest. this is just fine!!. For people like me , it is immensely useful...for...a) confidence in my 'choice' doubles if seen your short list... b)can get a look at the probables who can beat my 'Choice'if my choice is not in your short list.
So,when you have started your venture with a positve 'INTENT' then be positive in the follow up and follow through of this intent...
wishing you the very best,
Sanjay
Hi Jitendra,
First let me congratulate u for the splendid service u r providing 2 racegoers on a platter.I have few observations which i would like 2 know how it is accounted in ur DH rating.
*When in a race, horses of different age group r running
*When horse is running say after 1600m 2 1200-1000m or from 1000m 2 1600m
*Corelation of timings of horses running in a race from different centers
*Horse with bandage
Often u would find that 3 & 4 yr old does not win in Class one handicap race when pitched with older animals.Is the maturity of a horse to be considered?
I hope u can fine tune ur technique taking into consideration
many other variables may be by giving different weightages.
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