What a Fantastic and competitive card is framed today. With atleast 6 horses having equal chances in each and every race.
From morning I have been racking my brains to see and study and find out if I can atleast short list ONE PLACE HORSE, leave aside winner which is next to impossible today.
I feel that the objective is to return with some profit and if so then back only one horse MANIFOLD for PLACE today (not huge amount reasonably small) .MANIFOLD will be atleast 80 paise for place.rather than burning your fingers by attempting in all races take a chance on MANIFOLD for PLACE .I feel MANIFOLD has a 70% chance to hit the board.
Please find......
1=Maidens with many first timers.
2=RIDGEWOOD STAR(630)-FURIOSA(619)-WILSHREE(611)-CHECKMATE(607)
Analysis= RIDGEWOOD and FURIOSA are of better class while the other two have been promoted after winning in class VB.FURIOSA is very fast but has no recent track.Also why put amit when he is not able to utilize the full 3.5 kgs allowenec a sits riding weight is 50. So I doubr FURIOSA will be tried. RIDGEWOOD STAR may prefer 1200 mts. But there is one more horse which has caught my eye. CHECKMATE has had only one run so its DR is not yet established. but in spite of only one run its DR is 607 just 4 pts below WILSHREE and 3 below YUTAKA.
3=DAUGHTEROFSUN(595)-HAPPY BIRTHDAY(590)-BABY FACE(589)-SMASHER(580)
Analysis= DAUGHTER OF SUN ran good fifth in OAKS but is ridden by YASH who is totally off form.BABY FACE unreliable. the other two may fight out.
4=OTHELLO(616)-MARVEL(581)-GOSHAWK(570)-REDS REVENGE(570)
Analysis= OTHELLO has raced with superior company but is demoted and Dhunjibhoy has sold it. So it may not be "ON".REDS REVENGE won well and GOSHAWK last run was pulled by sandesh but why is T JODHA who never rides for dhunjibhoy riding ?But here too like CHECK MATE , ASTRAL FLARE and BRAIN STORM has had only two runs yet its rating is 569.That makes this arce also not venturing into.
5=Maidens with many first timers.
6=Whenever horses from different centres run the DR may not work as every centre has a different formulae and mother chart so comparing them together will not work. we have to compare that centre horses with same centre horse.
SO, KOLKOTTA has SANA(626) and AGGREGATED (609) , so SANA is better.
MUMBAI, the TOP FOUR are: ROCHESTER (638)-MANIFOLD(620)-LADY IN LACE(616)-
So what I meant to say PREVELANT FORCE-ROCHESTER-MANIFOLD-LADY IN LACE-SANA are the short listed horses in with a chance.On further study I feel KOLKOTTA horses can be discounted
LADY IN LACE going first time over 2400 mts , so PREVELANT FORCE, MANIFOLD. and the UPSET is ROCHESTER.MANIFOLD has won in same track and won well, I feel MANIFOLD worth takeing a PLACE chance.
Racing id full of siurprises especiall MUMBAI DERBY has a STIGMA attached to it. Once when JP was carried forward a 100/1 shot NOBLE EAGLE won the derby Start to finish to floor every one. can there be someone today??, 50 lakhs is added to JP today, only time will tell????
7=SPARKLING EYES(636)-RENATO(627)-GALLANT KNIGHT(626)-NICHOLAS(621)
Analysis= The presence of David alan , I feel GALLANT KNIGHT has better chance.
8=LINCOLN(650)-DOUBLE NINE(650)-HOUSE OF COMMON(648)
Analysis= A "DASH FOR CASH" race, Lot many speedy customers. HOUSE OF COMMONS if we consider one of its last runs in Pune in race (123) at same habndicap and class it has finished 4th. its the only horse here who is running in same weight in 60-86, all others are promoted and have been penalized.No doubt its short of a run and this will be avery fast run race still I feel it can place.
From morning I have been racking my brains to see and study and find out if I can atleast short list ONE PLACE HORSE, leave aside winner which is next to impossible today.
I feel that the objective is to return with some profit and if so then back only one horse MANIFOLD for PLACE today (not huge amount reasonably small) .MANIFOLD will be atleast 80 paise for place.rather than burning your fingers by attempting in all races take a chance on MANIFOLD for PLACE .I feel MANIFOLD has a 70% chance to hit the board.
Please find......
1=Maidens with many first timers.
2=RIDGEWOOD STAR(630)-FURIOSA(619)-WILSHREE(611)-CHECKMATE(607)
Analysis= RIDGEWOOD and FURIOSA are of better class while the other two have been promoted after winning in class VB.FURIOSA is very fast but has no recent track.Also why put amit when he is not able to utilize the full 3.5 kgs allowenec a sits riding weight is 50. So I doubr FURIOSA will be tried. RIDGEWOOD STAR may prefer 1200 mts. But there is one more horse which has caught my eye. CHECKMATE has had only one run so its DR is not yet established. but in spite of only one run its DR is 607 just 4 pts below WILSHREE and 3 below YUTAKA.
3=DAUGHTEROFSUN(595)-HAPPY BIRTHDAY(590)-BABY FACE(589)-SMASHER(580)
Analysis= DAUGHTER OF SUN ran good fifth in OAKS but is ridden by YASH who is totally off form.BABY FACE unreliable. the other two may fight out.
4=OTHELLO(616)-MARVEL(581)-GOSHAWK(570)-REDS REVENGE(570)
Analysis= OTHELLO has raced with superior company but is demoted and Dhunjibhoy has sold it. So it may not be "ON".REDS REVENGE won well and GOSHAWK last run was pulled by sandesh but why is T JODHA who never rides for dhunjibhoy riding ?But here too like CHECK MATE , ASTRAL FLARE and BRAIN STORM has had only two runs yet its rating is 569.That makes this arce also not venturing into.
5=Maidens with many first timers.
6=Whenever horses from different centres run the DR may not work as every centre has a different formulae and mother chart so comparing them together will not work. we have to compare that centre horses with same centre horse.
SO, KOLKOTTA has SANA(626) and AGGREGATED (609) , so SANA is better.
MUMBAI, the TOP FOUR are: ROCHESTER (638)-MANIFOLD(620)-LADY IN LACE(616)-
So what I meant to say PREVELANT FORCE-ROCHESTER-MANIFOLD-LADY IN LACE-SANA are the short listed horses in with a chance.On further study I feel KOLKOTTA horses can be discounted
LADY IN LACE going first time over 2400 mts , so PREVELANT FORCE, MANIFOLD. and the UPSET is ROCHESTER.MANIFOLD has won in same track and won well, I feel MANIFOLD worth takeing a PLACE chance.
Racing id full of siurprises especiall MUMBAI DERBY has a STIGMA attached to it. Once when JP was carried forward a 100/1 shot NOBLE EAGLE won the derby Start to finish to floor every one. can there be someone today??, 50 lakhs is added to JP today, only time will tell????
7=SPARKLING EYES(636)-RENATO(627)-GALLANT KNIGHT(626)-NICHOLAS(621)
Analysis= The presence of David alan , I feel GALLANT KNIGHT has better chance.
8=LINCOLN(650)-DOUBLE NINE(650)-HOUSE OF COMMON(648)
Analysis= A "DASH FOR CASH" race, Lot many speedy customers. HOUSE OF COMMONS if we consider one of its last runs in Pune in race (123) at same habndicap and class it has finished 4th. its the only horse here who is running in same weight in 60-86, all others are promoted and have been penalized.No doubt its short of a run and this will be avery fast run race still I feel it can place.
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