Saturday, November 22, 2014

Dynamic ratings Bangalore 22.11

please find the top four along with their Dynamic ratings and my views.

1=RAPID BOLT
Analysis=many first timers and lot many yet to establish their ratings. but RAPID BOLT strikes me .Last run in race no 145 the hors etook a very good jump and rider was having a tug of war battele to pull it. The conditions were testing. At the bend the horse was full of running and cruising when the rider was literally paralyzed and made no effort.Rightly he was pulled up. Today I feel it will be on a start to finish mission and worth a each way bet.

2=FANCY NUMBER(591)-RAKSHITA(591)-GLITERRING(579)-HIDDEN DEAL(569)
Analysis= RAKSHITA is of a gamblimg stable and may be 5.5 furlong may be sharp.I feel race may be confined to FANCY NUMBER and GLITTERING.

3=PASSION FLORA(580)-SAGRADA(556)-ZAGATO(553)
Analysis= SAGRADO belongs to that CHOR gang and its also the favourite. Best to avoid let it win.Better to take a place chance on the top weighted sparingly raced PASSION FLORA.

4=SHREWD MASTER(591)-APOLLO STAR(586)-GOOD FRUIT(577)-BATTLE EMPRESS(577)
Analysis= A tough one take care.

5=MICKY MOUSE(588)-THE ARTIST(585)-MAANAT(580)-AASHIKAARA(577)
Analysis=THE ARTIST first time in open class.May find it difficult in spite of second best in rating. MICKEY MOUSE has been performing well in elated company and is the one to beat. AASHIKAARA is one paced .On the contrary MAANAAT is the danger if it warms up in time. PLACE seems certain at 2/1.

6=NESTA(606)-SPEED HAWK(580)-SUPER QUEEN(576)-ATMOS(565)
Analysis= NESTO IS ONE HORSE RACE.JUST CANNOT,I REPEAT CANNOT LOSE IN THIS SET.Its on the other side of 600 rating and is the CERTAIN BET OF THE DAY.Just observe its run in race no 226 has finished 3 lengths behind all giants and just 1/2 behind the pune derby winner QUASAR.FRIENDS THIS ONE IS PAST THE POST. ANY ODDS IS GOOD WINNER IS WINNER.

7=SPREAD EAGLE(605)-WIND STREAM(605)-AMBITIOUS REWARD(593)
Analysis= SPREAD EAGLE IS ANOTHER WHO IS PAST THE POST. In mysore derby it was hustled up at the 600 mts by the over confident rider and that is why he was caught on the post. today over 1800 mts with top rating, FRIENDS ANOTHER MORAL PICK UP MONEY FOR THE DAY. JUST, JUST CANNOT GET BEAT.

8=CROWN EMPEROR(602)-STROMBOLITE(598)-CHAMPAKLI(598)-ARCH DUCHESS(598)-SALABERG(598)
Analysis= What to say just 4 points separating 5 of them.CROWN EMPEROR is a bad starter, also 6F will be sharp as it cannot hit the front due to presence of ARCH DUCHESS who is very speedy.So CROWN is ruled out.ARCH is good but is always found wanting in the last 100mts. CHAMPAKLI is nothing much. my view the race is only between SALSBERG and STROMBOLITE.
My suggestion is at this tidy handicap of 54.5 kgs, STROMBOLITE SHOULD BE BACKED STRONGLY FOR WIN/SHP/MORE IN PLACE.

9=AZZURRO(580)-SPANISH MOON(560)-RAPID ADVANCE(550)
Analysis=AZZURRO IS THE THIRD PICK UP MONEY OF THE DAY. JUST JUST CANNOT LOSE IN THIS SET.SPANISH MOON IS SURE SHOT SHP/ MORE IN PLACE BET.

A roll bet of NESTO-SPREAD EAGLE- AZZURRO will fetch a return of atleast 4/1.What else is required.
A strong Three way bet more in place on STROMBOLITE.With a liitle bit of divine grace and luck if the above propositions click then our day is made.
lets hope for the best.
 

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sir what is your pick for Calcutta 1000 guineas??

Jitendra Rawell said...

No idea about kol.kol and Delhi I don't follow at all.

Anonymous said...

Hi to Ruchi ji and all
Well I like to stay away from fav apart from munbai races but if you are that much confident I will put a win roll bet as well.
As you rightly said ROI is important than odds
My place selections for day are --
2nd race la mell will be on board
3rd race Bold vision
4 th race stimulator
All will be offered at more then even money
Ambitious reward can catch spreadeagle in last 50 mtr
I will put a place bet on him as well will be more then 2
Gud luck
Mahie

Unknown said...

Dear Ruchiji
Totally devastated today.pls help.looking for tomorrows mumbai races with much more anticipation.
Thanks
Nilban

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear all
yes totally disappointing show today.i myself is at a total puzzle as how it happened.once or twice in a season i hv noticed it happens like this.it gives all the more determination to do better work
sorry for today's disaster

Anonymous said...

HI..... BAD DAY BUT NEVER GIVE UP ATTITUDE IS THE RIGHT WORD FOR THE HOUR ... DONT GIVE UP RUCHI

Jitendra Rawell said...

Never sir
I cannot and will not give up.It happens once a while I am sure things will work out better tommorrow.of that I am sure

Unknown said...

Dear Ruchiji
You are the best.nothing to sorry about.it happens sometimes.waiting for your tomorrows mumbai and hydrabad selection.if possible post your selection little early.its just a request.
Thanks again sirji
nilban

Anonymous said...

Hello Ruchi ji
Our win roll went to bookies in the 6th race it self(no complaineds at all)
Loosing is part of game but nesto going down so tamely and then all fav followed him in the same way...
I just wana ask you what's the point burning midnight oil in handicapping when at the end we are at the mercy of trainers and owners ???
Just a simple line cost crore of rupess to punters all over india , and the line is----
The horse was not tried...
And this line has become so common now ..
What's the solution to this ???
Mahie

Anonymous said...

Plz post Hyd selections as well sir ji. Request sir ji

kamal chacha new delhi said...

IT was not a disappointing day, a very good day.. race number hoorse nummber4 rs1
race 2 horse number 3, place rs8
and race 3 horse number11 is rs4
race number4 horse number 3, win rs8 and place rs3
i played these hands and skipped 2 races to watch these races was biggest upsets so i left the race course . dear jitender your tips are really yery useful n profitable.thanks again n god bless u

Jitendra Rawell said...

Hello mahie,
Yes your views to some extent true.But yesterday in particular the two bets I gave as very good on coming back and going thru failure analysis I concluded.
A)NESTO , last ran in Feb. Skipped the whole of bang season. A prime season for local trainer. that means something must have been seriously wrong with the animal. Also first timer foreign rider of 22 years old.Horse was heavly bandaged in paddock. I feel oit was just given a easy run and I for particular should have thought a bit more instead of napping it.
On SPREADEAGLE as a after thought, well it has never won in open company .Today it was giving weight to horses who have already won in class 1. So another mistake in study.I feel both the horses were genuinely tried, may be NESTO they just took a chance and SPREAD EAGLE was under the stick at bend itself.So horse lacked that bit of class to tackle a good bunch.
These learings will help to better results and analysis in future.lets take positively and move ahead.
If we have fear that all races are fixed and don't rely on any system well then we have to stay at home and on week ends probably go for a movie or sit in cubbon park