Thursday, November 27, 2014

Dynamic ratings for Mumbai 27.11

Please find the top three/ four with potential to perform and my views. Do add your thoughts .

1=SUN HOT(623)-BURGUNDY ROSE(615)-SPEED BABY(610)
Analysis= SUN HOT is top rated but its last win was a GIFT race to see that yash got his 40th win. It was a real SET TO race. So ignoring it race is between the other two. BURGUNDY ROSE is a model of consistency but I feel SPEED BABY is a better choice. Antia will surely try it. Is really worth a each way bet.

2=ZOOM ZOOM(670)-TAMMY O(658)-BRYNHILL(650)
Analysis= TAMMY O is up in this class from 1-20 rating. I feel the handicapper has caught up with its progress. last run it beat COSMIC DANCER and it appeared he was flying but on the contrary the field was coming back. I feel this race is only between the other two. ZOOM ZOOM has skipped a season but take it with a pinch of salt. There are many front runners here and ZOOM ZOOM and BRYNHILL are the only two who can come from behind. They should as per my judgment finish one-two. ZOOM will be even 10/1 for place.

3=SHEER CLASS(601)-ZORAVAAR(578)-TRANCE(570)
Analysis= SHEER CLASS is consistent, but the horse has a one paced style of running. last run it beat an aged FORTUNE HUNTER that is really putting me off. Its at 45 piase and this connection has a tendency to fail on odds on choices. It it wins so be it though chances are less. ZORAVAAR once a good horse has lost way. Lets wait for it to come to peak. My views is TRANCE with its late rushing style, good rider and mid handicap is the one to beat. Remember in one of its run in pune it has come second to CIRKLE OF BLISS and beaten STARRY EYES by just receiving 2kgs. Today as SHEER CLASS will hit the front, I feel TRANCE will "EAT IT UP" close home. Even place will be evens which is double than SC WIN Quote.

4=Amazing FANTASY(585)-ATHENS(575)-GRENADINE(563)
Analysis= Really i am confused here. Amazing FANTASY is on the up climb and FILLY IN FORM to be backed till beaten? An age old racing jargon. GRENADINE has got that finishing burst that none can match. So dicey race.

5=SPADES(580)-CHA CHA(568)-ULTIMATE GLORY(568)-Bethpage(556)
Analysis= Another tough one which needs only to be watched .

6=QUICK FIRE(637)-ORIENTAL ROCKY(636)-NATURE Boy(619)-ZENOFIC(610)
Analysis= ZENOFIC has lost its way. NATURE BOY looks tough today. I feel race is only between the other two. ORIENTAL ROCKY is a moral place bet. for win/shp I feel its QUICK FIRE.

7=-GLORIOUS CROWN(610)-AZADEGAN(590)-IRREDENCE(588)-ANNABETH(588)-PREETY IN PATPONG(588)
Analysis= A close rated race other than the first named.
Nobody can predict what is in Antias mind. he has got many runners here out of which the above two have got excellent chance. From that also the speed that PIP has , no body can match but the question is it "ON"
GLRIOUS is the only other genuine runner here and as late "TAJ E SHAHHI has run with good bunch and performed. A place for it is sure on cards.
My view is if the day has been good till this race then have a place bet on GLORIUS and a small three way fling on the other two rank outsiders, AZADEGAN and IRREDANCE.
If the day hasn't been good then best is to walk out. 

Today strong day number is VENUS(6). The only number 6 striking in the entire day is SPEED BABY in the first race. I feel one can start the day with a each way ( more in place) on it.
All the best.
Do keep interacting with views/suggestions. Please add your thoughts to the short listed ones with good rating

17 comments:

kamal chacha new delhi said...

dear please watch winning history of race 4 i think u can catch the winner may be h/4 or h/5 pls suggest.thanks

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Jitendra,

Per my working

a point between burgundy rose and plan b . speedy babu and matues rose on equal terms.

burgundy rose - matues rose not bettable (odds factor-risk involved). So I am going with Speed baby e/w.

Jitendra Rawell said...

Hello mr kamal,
Horse no 4 is SQUARE MOON and 5 is ACE FANTASY.
True SQUARE MOON won twice but somehow the timimng and the DYNMIC RATING are coming very low that's why I ignored it. ACE FANTASY no doubt has highest rating ,two straight wins and filly in form theory.Last run also beat a reasonably good horse by running all the while in front. yes is the one to beat , but GRENADINE has got that electric finish and that is what is slightly putting me in confusion.Also GRENADINE finished 6th in the derby just NK behind ZACHARAY

Anonymous said...

Neeraj ji, thank you very much for QUICK FIRE, until that race i was in loss but i recovered losses n made good profit by it, invested 4k straight win @5 1/2. I am your regular follower, will wait for saturday bangalore races. Thank you alot. God bless you as always.

Santosh

Jitendra Rawell said...

santosh,
you got my name wrong

Anonymous said...

yes jitendra ji, m sorry. i was thinking about neeraj rawal so it happened by mistake. thank you.

santosh

Anonymous said...

Sir what is your pick for the north india 1000 guineas? I know you dont follow delhi but taking a look is not a problem. Your opinion is very valuable to us. Thanks. Rocky.

Jitendra Rawell said...

Rocky sir,
I don't have any idea for sure. I don't even have a look as far as DELHI is concerned. KOLKOTTA sometimes when there is a big day or when no racing else where, else these two center's no idea at all

Anonymous said...

Ok no problem sir. Thanks for your time.

Unknown said...

Hi dear Ruchi ji.
.this is Santosh Lalwani from pune...here i want talk about trainer HJ Antia.. it is very difficult to pick Antia's horse..yesterday i played speed baby in first race..place...and lost...i recoved on sheer class...and left the course.. but i saw the last race and thought so its going to be antia's race...but which horse no clue...yes Prety in P was my first choice...but had a strong feeling that he will go with higher odd horse...and look all three top places he got...i was amazed

Jitendra Rawell said...

Right observation santosh, in fact SPEED BABY was well and truly hooked. Look at the bend position in the repaly. the horse moved from fourth to third and was simply cruising with the jockey not interested at all.
All of a sudden after being in this position the horse was literally eased up to finish in the ruck.Now one fine day when it will be at good odds the trainer will "GO" and the horse will tronce the field.
That is the style of ANTIA> But he has strong clout inside and that's why he goes scot free.
But one thing HATS OFF to the condition in which ANTIA maintains his wards. All are fighting fit, the day signal is given they perform. look at STARPRINCE yesterday.6 outings no where yesterday 7/1 place,

Unknown said...

hi good evening dear Ruchi ji...santosh again frm pune..
i am little curious and exited to know about you..i mean how many years are you in racing industry... reason to ask you this question is the way you talk on any issue is amazing... with real talent which shows you have thorough knowledge... me being 4yr old into racing not able to understand many things..how to graduate in racing?pls give your valuable inputs.. regards.
Santosh Lalwani.

Jitendra Rawell said...

santoshji,
co incidentally my wife is from pune and my inlaws stay at kothrud. earlier they were at Raviwar peth.
I visit pune atleast once a year and always make it a point to visit the of course there.
incidentally I have full support of my family as far as racing is concerned as even my late dad/unckle and my brothers are equally passionate about racing.
I am in racing since my "nappy "days is what I would like to share in a lighter vein.That would give you a idea

Jitendra Rawell said...

@santosh
by profession I am a electrical engineer serving at a MNC in bangalore and attend races only week ends time permitting but calculate the ratings all days

Unknown said...

sir salute to you...i am just a born babyy in front of you in racing...its really good that you have good reason to visit pune.
looking forward for your pune visit sir...
it will be immense pleasure to meet you..do let me know when you visit pune...LOL

ashu said...

ruchi sir waiting for ur super selections...of BANGLORE..

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Jitendra,

Some horses crop up during my work out. Can you please share your inputs for it.

Bangalore:

1/. Liquid Asset - slow starter - but nothing to beat
3/. Turf Tactics - odds will be a factor
4/. Amanda - Icecream- the horse that interest me is Icecream. Comes on top but going through all previous runs- just does not match
5/. Firolocco- should place - good odds
6/. Veyron - Athletic Star - going with Veyron place
8/. Candice - here is another one. Coming on top- but long layoff. Since field is backward any chance??
9/. Force Ensing - my bet odds permitting.

Please let me know if you have the time