Friday, December 5, 2014

Dynamic ratings for Bangalore: 5.12

Pl find the top four with potential and my views. Do add your thoughts.
1= Skip

2=ATTRACTOR(569)-FASHION FLAME(560)-TRADITION(542)-BELLA PINKY(542)
Analysis= This is a "NO WHIP" race. A VB is always a challenge. However my view is that whilst ATTRACTOR is good ,having good initial speed, TRADITION is the one. It has a good experienced rider , also, TRADITION is a horse who warms up on its own and does not require the goarding of a whip.
In fact TRADITION has run the best of her late dash races with Apprentice boys. So. Today TRADITION with its superb late dash is the one to beat.

3=RARE AND PRECIOUS(575)-SAIRANI(570)-GOOD FRUIT(566)
Analysis= race is only between the top two. they are evenly matched should be in ONE-TWO any which way.

4=ICE KINGDOM(559)-HILTON(550)-BIZZARD OF OZ(550)-SOMERSET ROSE(550)
Analysis= A closely rated race. Except for BIZZARD and ICE other two have come from VB class. Also ICE KINGDOM has a very very fast finishing style. This season it has been running good races and finishing close to the frame. But connections intention is a issue. if positive NO BODY CAN TOUCH IT.

5=CONNEMERA(574)-MYSTIC MUSIC(566)-CZAR RULE(558)-BARRINGO(558)
Analysis= CONNAMERA first season was the GOVERNORS cup winner. Was thought of highly then had a set back I think. Now is getting back into Rhythm and I feel this set is quite weak and should do it. BAZINGA is a good youngster at tidy weight keep a eye. place possibility is there.

6=KING JULIEN(610)-THE MUSE(604)-AUSTIN(604)-SUPER START(602)
Analysis= KING JULIEN is top-rated but still personally I feel it will be difficult. MUSE has had a easy lung opener  and today that stable has many runners may be on job. But the one to beat is AUSTIN( will be favorite and Arjun manglorkar favorites there is always a doubt).SUPER STAR on the contrary has been finishing close to the bunch, is tidily placed  .I feel SUPER STAR and THE MUSE may fight out.

7=STIMULATE(586)-BEAUTY IN TRUTH(566)-
Analysis= Just between the two of them. If we go back one season and see the bunch in which BEAUTY IN TRUTH has been running, well, it appears that she is out for a "WALK OVER" No doubt many times it was felt like that but she has disappointed.However today I feel BEAUTY IS TRUTH is facing the weakest opposition of her career ( Remember her second to AMELIA in the Fillies last year, her run in the ledger ,leading all way and coming 6th with many class one horses finishing behind her) ITS TODAY OR NEVER FOR THIS UNLUCKY FILLY TODAY. Of course STIMULATE is next best.

8=LITTLE BROWN JUG(592)-OUR LITTLE DRAGON(587)-FLAMES OF PASSION(582)
Analysis=Some Trainers never learn and always stick to their shady habits. Today in this bunch even with three legs FLAMES OF PASSION can win. Twice the filly wa subject to shady runs, landed in soup, also ensured his rider also goes on holiday. Now last run this filly gave such a eye catching run with the rider trying his level best to miss the board but yet finished 4th.

And today, the horse has not been given any track since then. What can one conclude/ infer. Thats why I said some connections just don't want to mend their ways. This horse is CUT Above THIS SET and just cannot lose but the biggest question is what the connections want??.Keep that in mind.
This field is so poor that other than the top three that all the top three rated will finish one-two-three , so if you have doubt about FOP and LITTLE BROWN JUG is giving better place odds then BACK IT.
All the best

 

4 comments:

ravi said...

Sir in 5th race. Star of destiny is also good horse with blk off and winning jockey up what are ur thoughts.
Ravi

Anonymous said...

Sir,

Your analysis of 6th race not attractive.
Please look again.

Unknown said...

Dear Ruchiji
Today it was a very bad day in office for me.not a single payment.
looking forward to your selection for tomorrow anxiously with much more anticipation.
One request to you sir.hope you will surely do that for us....tomorrow in kolkata there is 2000 guinea...if time permit pls give your valuable inputs for few kolkata races also.as i am from kolkata;booky will take kolkata races only.its a humble request to you sir.
thanks in advance
Nilban

Anonymous said...

u confused with ur comments, ur ratings gave results but followed ur comments in beauty in truth n lost