Wednesday, December 3, 2014

Dynamic ratings for Mysore: 3.12

A tricky and competitive card awaits for today. here are the Dynamic ratings and my views. Do add your thoughts amongst the short listed .
1= Skip
2= Skip

3=HEAVENLY DIVAS(590)-DOMNICA(579)-ROYAL REIGN(564)-JALDI(564)
Analysis= HD is top rated but last run even DOMNICA beat it out of sight. Also JALDI long lay off ,is speedy but may need the run. I feel race is only between the other two.my vote goes in favor of ROYAL REIGN, a filly in form and on a hat rick.

4=NANUK(592)-SPIRITUAL BLUE(588)-WINGED KING(577)
Analysis= Again a set to between the top two is on the cards. On promotion NANUK is better placed. also last run NANUK was well and truly hooked. Today I feel with a honest effort he should get this one easily.

5=TIME FLIES(611)-SUPREME(605)-QUEENS(604)-YAKEEN(601)
Analysis= QUEEN may find 6F bit sharp. will not be able to go to front. My view is B MUKESH the heavy weight rider has been specially called for YAKEEN, so that the dead weight the horse ha sto carry is reduced. BM weighs 57.5 kgs. Just yesterday he was in KOL and flew down. I am sure YAKEEN will do it. YAKEEN has ben performing well even with 64.5 kgs previous season and tis bunch is easily tackable.

6=TANDAV(549)-ARC ANGEl(536)-CATERINA(536)-ROSIE DREAM(536)
Analysis= Tough race.CATERINA needs watching.Place looks good can upset.

7=MAJESTIC OPINION(630)-ALWAYS UNITED(580)-C. NOBILITY(575)-TULIP(570)
Analysis= Mumbai imports are definitely superior .A safer and sure bet would be ALWAYS UNITED PLACE. will be atleast 12/10 for place.

8=DELTA DELIGHT(567)-AFTERNOON DELIGHT(562)-TRIPLE VICTORY(562)-Q. COLOUR(562)
Analysis= THIS IS A "NO WHIP" race. That means its a distinct advantage to front running DELTA DELIGHT. DD has been very consistent and running very good forward races. Also the horses finishing ahead og it are young 3year olds after a fight.
Also DD finishes just 2 lengths behind such good horses. Also TRIPLE VICTORY there is a change of shoes to "s" in spite of winning last run. further last run TRIPLE VICTORY was whipped before going ahead and today its a no whip race. in face my view is AFTERNOON DELIGHT ran a better race. So my take is DELTA DELIGHT should do it from AFTERNOON DELIGHT who may finish close.
That's it all the bets. careful MYSORE is always dicey

8 comments:

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Ruchi,

Can you throw more light on Second Lady last race. Has positive shoe change and come on top on working.

Anonymous said...

ruchiji,whats your opinion about constantine?? because that's today hot fav.thanks in advance.

Jitendra Rawell said...

Dear Mr satish,
yes SECOND LADY ,a very good horse, good front runner. but as I mentioned earlier I consider the TOp FOUR having good DYNAMIC RATING and then restrict my analysis to them.
So SECOND LADY does not figure amongst the tOP FOUR Today.
Also SECOND LADY and DELTA DELIGHT have same style of running. that is hit the front from word "GO".In that respect DELTA DELIGHT I feel is better placed as this is also a NO WHIP RACE and DD is at a very tidy handicap.

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Ruchi,

Thanks for the clarification

Jitendra Rawell said...

CONSTANTINE is a horse wherein the connections themselves are not sure which is its right distance and what startergy they should adopt so that it performs. One day it runs in front fails, then they try a waiting race it performs even more miserably. my view is in desperation they have bought it here in Mysore hopeing that it will atleast win one race amongst all aged horses. In this same race the other Mumbai horse is better performed. This is my view

Sathish Kumar said...

Dear Ruchi,

I have my own way of working out. However on thing intrigues me is the videos.

I usually take the last race which the horse ran (ONLY the ones which come on top - four) and check their run. However I gave it up for clarity.

What do you have to see during watching the replays? Can you please let me know - as I feel my workout is incomplete without it.

Thanks for all your help

Jitendra Rawell said...

Mr satish,
Actually n any handicap theory also one should take the best of THREE previous runs and then find out the beast rating.In case of new season one should atke the best of last four outings till they have arun in the current season.
And in certain cases like Goli type of trainers,SHARAT KUMAR,ANTIA one need to go back a little and take the best of 5 to 6 runs as these guys are known to completely fox the public by immediate listless runs but one or two eye catching runs two outings previously.
With a bit of practice and observation one can get to know the pulse of these guys and that's the time we can cash on good outsiders.
As far as video viewing is concerne di feel there is more to watch on runners who don't finish on board than those that do. Because those that do well we know but its those shady runs which are off board that speaks a lot .this observation also one can gain mastery with patience, practice

Jitendra Rawell said...

Mr satish,
Actually n any handicap theory also one should take the best of THREE previous runs and then find out the beast rating.In case of new season one should atke the best of last four outings till they have arun in the current season.
And in certain cases like Goli type of trainers,SHARAT KUMAR,ANTIA one need to go back a little and take the best of 5 to 6 runs as these guys are known to completely fox the public by immediate listless runs but one or two eye catching runs two outings previously.
With a bit of practice and observation one can get to know the pulse of these guys and that's the time we can cash on good outsiders.
As far as video viewing is concerne di feel there is more to watch on runners who don't finish on board than those that do. Because those that do well we know but its those shady runs which are off board that speaks a lot .this observation also one can gain mastery with patience, practice